Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →73.0%
Las Palmas
19.1%
Draw
7.9%
Ibiza
Expected Goals (xG)
1.94
Las Palmas
vs
0.46
Ibiza
Markets
BTTS31.5%
Over 0.591.0%
Over 1.569.0%
Over 2.542.9%
Over 3.522.0%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-0
17.7%
2-0
17.1%
3-0
11.0%
0-0
9.0%
1-1
8.0%
2-1
7.9%
4-0
5.3%
3-1
5.1%
0-1
4.3%
4-1
2.5%
5-0
2.1%
1-2
1.9%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).