Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →54.9%
Sunderland
27.9%
Draw
17.2%
Cardiff
Expected Goals (xG)
1.50
Sunderland
vs
0.72
Cardiff
Markets
BTTS40.8%
Over 0.588.3%
Over 1.565.9%
Over 2.538.2%
Over 3.518.4%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-0
15.4%
1-1
12.6%
2-0
12.2%
0-0
11.7%
2-1
8.8%
0-1
7.0%
3-0
6.1%
3-1
4.4%
1-2
4.3%
2-2
3.2%
0-2
2.8%
4-0
2.3%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).