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DHT: 11

23 Nov 2025 · 15:30

Basel

Away

Dixon-Coles Prediction

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26.4%
Grasshopper
30.4%
Draw
43.2%
Basel

Expected Goals (xG)

1.11

Grasshopper

vs
1.47

Basel

Markets

BTTS53.8%
Over 0.590.2%
Over 1.575.0%
Over 2.547.6%
Over 3.525.9%

Most Likely Scorelines

1-1
14.6%
0-0
9.8%
1-2
9.1%
0-1
9.0%
0-2
8.2%
2-1
6.9%
1-0
6.2%
2-2
5.0%
2-0
4.7%
1-3
4.4%
0-3
4.0%
3-1
2.5%

Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).