Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →18.6%
Ajaccio
21.2%
Draw
60.2%
Metz
Expected Goals (xG)
0.86
Ajaccio
vs
1.78
Metz
Markets
BTTS47.0%
Over 0.593.8%
Over 1.573.2%
Over 2.549.2%
Over 3.527.3%
Most Likely Scorelines
0-1
13.6%
0-2
11.3%
1-1
10.0%
1-2
9.7%
1-0
7.0%
0-3
6.7%
0-0
6.2%
1-3
5.8%
2-1
4.7%
2-2
4.2%
0-4
3.0%
2-0
2.6%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).