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AHT: 03CSV

14 Dec 2024 · 19:45

Dender

Away

Dixon-Coles Prediction

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44.0%
Kortrijk
26.3%
Draw
29.6%
Dender

Expected Goals (xG)

1.56

Kortrijk

vs
1.24

Dender

Markets

BTTS56.7%
Over 0.593.2%
Over 1.577.5%
Over 2.552.9%
Over 3.530.7%

Most Likely Scorelines

1-1
12.5%
2-1
9.2%
1-0
8.8%
2-0
7.4%
1-2
7.3%
0-1
6.9%
0-0
6.8%
2-2
5.7%
3-1
4.8%
0-2
4.7%
3-0
3.8%
1-3
3.0%

Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).