Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →49.3%
Liverpool
30.0%
Draw
20.7%
Sunderland
Expected Goals (xG)
1.47
Liverpool
vs
0.87
Sunderland
Markets
BTTS46.4%
Over 0.588.6%
Over 1.569.5%
Over 2.541.4%
Over 3.520.8%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-1
14.1%
1-0
12.4%
0-0
11.4%
2-0
10.4%
2-1
9.0%
0-1
6.7%
1-2
5.4%
3-0
5.1%
3-1
4.4%
2-2
3.9%
0-2
3.7%
3-2
1.9%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).