Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →19.7%
Lecco
29.9%
Draw
50.4%
Ascoli
Expected Goals (xG)
0.78
Lecco
vs
1.40
Ascoli
Markets
BTTS42.1%
Over 0.587.5%
Over 1.565.4%
Over 2.537.3%
Over 3.517.8%
Most Likely Scorelines
0-1
14.6%
1-1
13.6%
0-0
12.5%
0-2
11.1%
1-2
8.7%
1-0
7.6%
0-3
5.2%
2-1
4.8%
1-3
4.0%
2-0
3.4%
2-2
3.4%
0-4
1.8%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).