Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →68.2%
Cambridge
20.6%
Draw
11.2%
Crawley Town
Expected Goals (xG)
1.81
Cambridge
vs
0.56
Crawley Town
Markets
BTTS35.4%
Over 0.591.1%
Over 1.568.1%
Over 2.542.3%
Over 3.521.5%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-0
17.3%
2-0
15.3%
3-0
9.3%
1-1
9.0%
0-0
8.9%
2-1
8.6%
0-1
5.6%
3-1
5.2%
4-0
4.2%
1-2
2.6%
2-2
2.4%
4-1
2.3%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).