Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →56.4%
Hearts
27.1%
Draw
16.5%
Falkirk
Expected Goals (xG)
1.52
Hearts
vs
0.70
Falkirk
Markets
BTTS40.0%
Over 0.588.6%
Over 1.565.7%
Over 2.538.3%
Over 3.518.5%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-0
15.9%
2-0
12.5%
1-1
12.2%
0-0
11.4%
2-1
8.8%
0-1
7.0%
3-0
6.4%
3-1
4.5%
1-2
4.0%
2-2
3.1%
0-2
2.7%
4-0
2.4%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).