Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →43.2%
Harrogate
30.4%
Draw
26.4%
Maidenhead
Expected Goals (xG)
1.30
Harrogate
vs
0.96
Maidenhead
Markets
BTTS45.9%
Over 0.588.4%
Over 1.567.0%
Over 2.539.2%
Over 3.519.2%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-1
14.1%
1-0
12.5%
0-0
11.6%
0-1
8.9%
2-0
8.8%
2-1
8.5%
1-2
6.2%
0-2
4.8%
2-2
4.1%
3-0
3.8%
3-1
3.7%
1-3
2.0%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).