Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →18.7%
Martigues
21.7%
Draw
59.6%
Paris FC
Expected Goals (xG)
0.84
Martigues
vs
1.74
Paris FC
Markets
BTTS45.8%
Over 0.593.3%
Over 1.571.8%
Over 2.547.4%
Over 3.525.8%
Most Likely Scorelines
0-1
14.2%
0-2
11.5%
1-1
10.2%
1-2
9.6%
1-0
7.3%
0-0
6.7%
0-3
6.7%
1-3
5.6%
2-1
4.6%
2-2
4.0%
0-4
2.9%
2-0
2.7%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).