Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →53.9%
Brescia
28.6%
Draw
17.4%
Cosenza
Expected Goals (xG)
1.49
Brescia
vs
0.74
Cosenza
Markets
BTTS41.8%
Over 0.588.1%
Over 1.566.5%
Over 2.538.6%
Over 3.518.7%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-0
14.8%
1-1
13.0%
2-0
11.9%
0-0
11.9%
2-1
8.8%
0-1
6.8%
3-0
5.9%
1-2
4.4%
3-1
4.4%
2-2
3.3%
0-2
3.0%
4-0
2.2%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).