Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →73.2%
Fenerbahce
18.9%
Draw
7.9%
Erzurum BB
Expected Goals (xG)
2.56
Fenerbahce
vs
0.82
Erzurum BB
Markets
BTTS53.4%
Over 0.594.8%
Over 1.586.9%
Over 2.565.6%
Over 3.543.7%
Most Likely Scorelines
2-0
11.2%
3-0
9.5%
2-1
9.1%
1-1
8.9%
3-1
7.8%
1-0
6.9%
4-0
6.1%
0-0
5.2%
4-1
5.0%
2-2
3.7%
3-2
3.2%
5-0
3.1%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).