Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →48.2%
Hednesford Town
23.5%
Draw
28.3%
Gateshead
Expected Goals (xG)
1.66
Hednesford Town
vs
1.21
Gateshead
Markets
BTTS56.5%
Over 0.594.7%
Over 1.577.7%
Over 2.554.8%
Over 3.532.4%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-1
11.0%
1-0
9.8%
2-1
9.5%
2-0
7.8%
0-1
7.2%
1-2
6.9%
2-2
5.7%
0-0
5.3%
3-1
5.2%
3-0
4.3%
0-2
4.2%
3-2
3.2%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).