Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →78.1%
Santander
13.3%
Draw
8.6%
Cultural Leonesa
Expected Goals (xG)
2.82
Santander
vs
0.85
Cultural Leonesa
Markets
BTTS53.8%
Over 0.597.5%
Over 1.588.1%
Over 2.571.0%
Over 3.550.1%
Most Likely Scorelines
2-0
10.1%
3-0
9.5%
2-1
8.6%
3-1
8.1%
1-0
7.2%
4-0
6.7%
1-1
6.0%
4-1
5.7%
5-0
3.8%
2-2
3.7%
3-2
3.4%
5-1
3.2%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).