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01 Sept 2024 · 11:30

Dixon-Coles Prediction

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67.0%
Club Brugge
18.3%
Draw
14.7%
Cercle Brugge

Expected Goals (xG)

2.44

Club Brugge

vs
1.08

Cercle Brugge

Markets

BTTS60.4%
Over 0.596.7%
Over 1.586.8%
Over 2.568.1%
Over 3.546.6%

Most Likely Scorelines

2-1
9.5%
2-0
8.9%
1-1
8.1%
3-1
7.7%
3-0
7.2%
1-0
7.0%
2-2
5.1%
4-1
4.7%
4-0
4.4%
1-2
4.2%
3-2
4.2%
0-0
3.3%

Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).