Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →52.5%
Estoril
20.7%
Draw
26.7%
Guimaraes
Expected Goals (xG)
2.01
Estoril
vs
1.38
Guimaraes
Markets
BTTS64.5%
Over 0.597.1%
Over 1.584.9%
Over 2.566.0%
Over 3.544.1%
Most Likely Scorelines
2-1
9.4%
1-1
8.9%
1-0
7.1%
2-0
6.8%
2-2
6.5%
1-2
6.4%
3-1
6.3%
0-1
5.0%
3-0
4.6%
3-2
4.4%
0-2
3.2%
4-1
3.2%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).