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AHT: 12CSV

07 Jan 2023 · 15:00

Dixon-Coles Prediction

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49.9%
Cambridge
24.4%
Draw
25.7%
Bristol Rvs

Expected Goals (xG)

1.46

Cambridge

vs
0.95

Bristol Rvs

Markets

BTTS46.2%
Over 0.592.1%
Over 1.568.5%
Over 2.543.5%
Over 3.522.5%

Most Likely Scorelines

1-0
14.1%
1-1
11.4%
0-1
9.6%
2-0
9.5%
2-1
9.1%
0-0
7.9%
1-2
5.9%
3-0
4.6%
3-1
4.4%
2-2
4.3%
0-2
4.1%
3-2
2.1%

Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).