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DHT: 10CSV

16 Nov 2019 · 15:00

Dixon-Coles Prediction

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13.0%
Dumbarton
16.4%
Draw
70.6%
Falkirk

Expected Goals (xG)

1.16

Dumbarton

vs
2.77

Falkirk

Markets

BTTS64.8%
Over 0.597.6%
Over 1.590.7%
Over 2.575.1%
Over 3.555.2%

Most Likely Scorelines

1-2
8.7%
1-3
8.1%
0-2
7.5%
0-3
7.0%
1-1
6.7%
1-4
5.6%
2-2
5.1%
0-1
5.0%
0-4
4.8%
2-3
4.7%
2-1
3.7%
2-4
3.2%

Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).