Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →12.8%
Welling United
31.9%
Draw
55.3%
Margate
Expected Goals (xG)
0.38
Welling United
vs
1.14
Margate
Markets
BTTS21.3%
Over 0.578.4%
Over 1.544.6%
Over 2.519.6%
Over 3.56.8%
Most Likely Scorelines
0-1
25.2%
0-0
21.6%
0-2
14.1%
1-1
9.2%
1-0
8.7%
1-2
5.4%
0-3
5.3%
1-3
2.0%
2-1
1.8%
2-0
1.6%
0-4
1.5%
2-2
1.0%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).