Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →19.1%
Holstein Kiel
17.9%
Draw
63.0%
Stuttgart
Expected Goals (xG)
1.53
Holstein Kiel
vs
2.76
Stuttgart
Markets
BTTS73.8%
Over 0.598.2%
Over 1.593.2%
Over 2.580.1%
Over 3.562.1%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-2
8.0%
1-3
7.3%
1-1
6.2%
2-2
6.1%
2-3
5.6%
0-2
5.2%
1-4
5.1%
0-3
4.8%
2-1
4.4%
2-4
3.9%
0-1
3.3%
0-4
3.3%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).