Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →75.0%
Chesterfield
14.7%
Draw
10.4%
Dorking
Expected Goals (xG)
3.00
Chesterfield
vs
1.11
Dorking
Markets
BTTS64.1%
Over 0.597.9%
Over 1.592.1%
Over 2.577.7%
Over 3.558.7%
Most Likely Scorelines
2-1
8.2%
3-1
8.2%
2-0
7.4%
3-0
7.4%
4-1
6.1%
1-1
5.9%
4-0
5.5%
2-2
4.5%
3-2
4.5%
1-0
4.5%
5-1
3.7%
4-2
3.4%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).