Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →37.8%
Union Berlin
32.0%
Draw
30.2%
Paderborn
Expected Goals (xG)
1.10
Union Berlin
vs
0.96
Paderborn
Markets
BTTS42.0%
Over 0.586.3%
Over 1.561.9%
Over 2.533.9%
Over 3.515.3%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-1
14.4%
0-0
13.7%
1-0
13.2%
0-1
11.3%
2-0
7.8%
2-1
7.4%
1-2
6.4%
0-2
5.8%
2-2
3.5%
3-0
2.8%
3-1
2.7%
1-3
2.0%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).