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14 Sept 2021 · 19:45

Dixon-Coles Prediction

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52.6%
Dag and Red
26.9%
Draw
20.5%
Weymouth

Expected Goals (xG)

1.61

Dag and Red

vs
0.92

Weymouth

Markets

BTTS49.3%
Over 0.591.1%
Over 1.573.0%
Over 2.546.6%
Over 3.525.1%

Most Likely Scorelines

1-1
12.8%
1-0
11.8%
2-0
10.3%
2-1
9.5%
0-0
8.9%
0-1
6.3%
3-0
5.5%
1-2
5.4%
3-1
5.1%
2-2
4.4%
0-2
3.4%
3-2
2.4%

Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).