Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →71.6%
Lille
15.5%
Draw
12.9%
St Etienne
Expected Goals (xG)
2.66
Lille
vs
1.06
St Etienne
Markets
BTTS60.5%
Over 0.597.7%
Over 1.588.3%
Over 2.571.7%
Over 3.550.9%
Most Likely Scorelines
2-1
9.1%
2-0
8.6%
3-1
8.1%
3-0
7.6%
1-1
6.7%
1-0
6.7%
4-1
5.4%
4-0
5.1%
2-2
4.8%
3-2
4.3%
1-2
3.6%
5-1
2.8%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).