Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →12.0%
Valenciennes
19.5%
Draw
68.5%
Auxerre
Expected Goals (xG)
0.60
Valenciennes
vs
1.87
Auxerre
Markets
BTTS37.6%
Over 0.592.3%
Over 1.570.0%
Over 2.544.9%
Over 3.523.7%
Most Likely Scorelines
0-1
16.5%
0-2
14.7%
0-3
9.2%
1-2
8.9%
1-1
8.8%
0-0
7.7%
1-0
5.9%
1-3
5.5%
0-4
4.3%
2-1
2.9%
2-2
2.7%
1-4
2.6%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).