Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →29.2%
Hartlepool
26.1%
Draw
44.7%
Barnet
Expected Goals (xG)
1.05
Hartlepool
vs
1.37
Barnet
Markets
BTTS47.9%
Over 0.591.6%
Over 1.569.0%
Over 2.543.5%
Over 3.522.5%
Most Likely Scorelines
0-1
12.7%
1-1
12.3%
1-0
9.9%
1-2
8.8%
0-0
8.4%
0-2
8.4%
2-1
6.7%
2-0
4.9%
2-2
4.6%
1-3
4.0%
0-3
3.8%
3-1
2.3%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).