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28 Nov 2025 · 19:30

Dixon-Coles Prediction

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25.7%
Borussia Mönchengladbach
24.9%
Draw
49.4%
RB Leipzig

Expected Goals (xG)

1.23

Borussia Mönchengladbach

vs
1.78

RB Leipzig

Markets

BTTS59.7%
Over 0.594.3%
Over 1.581.1%
Over 2.557.9%
Over 3.535.5%

Most Likely Scorelines

1-1
11.6%
1-2
9.6%
0-1
7.9%
0-2
7.8%
2-1
6.7%
2-2
5.9%
0-0
5.7%
1-3
5.7%
1-0
5.3%
0-3
4.6%
2-0
3.7%
2-3
3.5%

Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).