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AHT: 02CSV

08 Mar 2021 · 18:00

Dixon-Coles Prediction

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49.8%
Chievo
28.8%
Draw
21.4%
Vicenza

Expected Goals (xG)

1.48

Chievo

vs
0.89

Vicenza

Markets

BTTS46.6%
Over 0.589.4%
Over 1.569.6%
Over 2.542.1%
Over 3.521.4%

Most Likely Scorelines

1-1
13.5%
1-0
12.7%
0-0
10.6%
2-0
10.3%
2-1
9.1%
0-1
7.1%
1-2
5.5%
3-0
5.1%
3-1
4.5%
2-2
4.0%
0-2
3.7%
3-2
2.0%

Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).