Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →25.7%
Ulm
31.4%
Draw
42.9%
Schalke 04
Expected Goals (xG)
0.91
Ulm
vs
1.25
Schalke 04
Markets
BTTS44.0%
Over 0.587.2%
Over 1.564.9%
Over 2.536.7%
Over 3.517.3%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-1
14.4%
0-1
13.1%
0-0
12.8%
1-0
9.2%
0-2
9.0%
1-2
8.2%
2-1
6.0%
2-0
4.8%
0-3
3.8%
2-2
3.7%
1-3
3.4%
3-1
1.8%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).