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AHT: 01CSV

24 Jan 2021 · 14:30

Dixon-Coles Prediction

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2.6%
Schalke 04
6.5%
Draw
90.9%
Bayern Munich

Expected Goals (xG)

0.70

Schalke 04

vs
3.95

Bayern Munich

Markets

BTTS49.6%
Over 0.598.9%
Over 1.594.7%
Over 2.584.2%
Over 3.568.1%

Most Likely Scorelines

0-3
9.8%
0-4
9.7%
0-5
7.7%
0-2
7.5%
1-3
6.9%
1-4
6.8%
1-5
5.4%
1-2
5.3%
0-1
3.6%
1-1
2.8%
2-3
2.4%
2-4
2.4%

Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).