Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →70.0%
St. Gilloise
20.6%
Draw
9.4%
Waregem
Expected Goals (xG)
1.97
St. Gilloise
vs
0.58
Waregem
Markets
BTTS38.4%
Over 0.591.7%
Over 1.572.9%
Over 2.547.0%
Over 3.525.4%
Most Likely Scorelines
2-0
15.2%
1-0
14.8%
3-0
10.0%
1-1
9.4%
2-1
8.8%
0-0
8.3%
3-1
5.8%
4-0
4.9%
0-1
4.0%
4-1
2.9%
1-2
2.6%
2-2
2.5%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).