Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →50.5%
Werder Bremen
26.1%
Draw
23.4%
Schalke 04
Expected Goals (xG)
1.64
Werder Bremen
vs
1.05
Schalke 04
Markets
BTTS53.2%
Over 0.592.4%
Over 1.575.8%
Over 2.550.4%
Over 3.528.4%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-1
12.5%
1-0
10.4%
2-1
9.6%
2-0
9.2%
0-0
7.6%
0-1
6.3%
1-2
6.1%
3-1
5.3%
2-2
5.0%
3-0
5.0%
0-2
3.7%
3-2
2.8%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).