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27 Dec 2025 · 19:45

Dixon-Coles Prediction

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39.9%
Gent
24.9%
Draw
35.2%
Westerlo

Expected Goals (xG)

1.58

Gent

vs
1.47

Westerlo

Markets

BTTS61.5%
Over 0.594.8%
Over 1.581.2%
Over 2.558.7%
Over 3.536.3%

Most Likely Scorelines

1-1
11.4%
2-1
8.7%
1-2
8.1%
1-0
7.1%
0-1
6.6%
2-2
6.4%
2-0
5.9%
0-0
5.2%
0-2
5.1%
3-1
4.6%
1-3
4.0%
3-2
3.4%

Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).