Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →50.9%
Leganes
28.0%
Draw
21.1%
Valladolid
Expected Goals (xG)
1.35
Leganes
vs
0.76
Valladolid
Markets
BTTS39.1%
Over 0.587.9%
Over 1.562.0%
Over 2.535.1%
Over 3.516.2%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-0
16.6%
1-1
12.3%
0-0
12.1%
2-0
11.1%
0-1
9.4%
2-1
8.4%
3-0
5.0%
1-2
4.7%
3-1
3.8%
0-2
3.5%
2-2
3.2%
4-0
1.7%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).