⚽ FootballData
0 – 1
AHT: 01CSV

26 Mar 2019

Dixon-Coles Prediction

View all models →
12.1%
Dunfermline
26.6%
Draw
61.3%
Dundee United

Expected Goals (xG)

0.65

Dunfermline

vs
1.71

Dundee United

Markets

BTTS40.9%
Over 0.588.9%
Over 1.570.0%
Over 2.542.0%
Over 3.521.3%

Most Likely Scorelines

0-1
14.4%
0-2
13.8%
1-1
12.2%
0-0
11.1%
1-2
9.0%
0-3
7.9%
1-3
5.1%
1-0
4.5%
2-1
3.4%
0-4
3.4%
2-2
2.9%
1-4
2.2%

Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).