Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →62.3%
Atalanta
21.8%
Draw
15.9%
Udinese
Expected Goals (xG)
1.84
Atalanta
vs
0.80
Udinese
Markets
BTTS46.0%
Over 0.593.0%
Over 1.573.7%
Over 2.549.0%
Over 3.527.1%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-0
13.4%
2-0
12.1%
1-1
10.3%
2-1
9.7%
3-0
7.4%
0-0
7.0%
3-1
5.9%
0-1
5.9%
1-2
4.2%
2-2
3.8%
4-0
3.4%
4-1
2.7%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).