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04 Mar 2024 · 20:00

Dixon-Coles Prediction

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2.7%
Sheffield United
8.5%
Draw
88.8%
Arsenal

Expected Goals (xG)

0.60

Sheffield United

vs
3.49

Arsenal

Markets

BTTS44.3%
Over 0.597.8%
Over 1.591.9%
Over 2.577.4%
Over 3.558.3%

Most Likely Scorelines

0-3
11.9%
0-4
10.3%
0-2
10.2%
0-5
7.2%
1-3
7.1%
1-4
6.2%
1-2
6.1%
0-1
5.4%
1-5
4.3%
1-1
4.0%
0-0
2.2%
2-3
2.1%

Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).