Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →14.1%
Reading
24.9%
Draw
61.1%
Nott'm Forest
Expected Goals (xG)
0.70
Reading
vs
1.72
Nott'm Forest
Markets
BTTS42.2%
Over 0.590.3%
Over 1.570.4%
Over 2.543.6%
Over 3.522.6%
Most Likely Scorelines
0-1
14.5%
0-2
13.1%
1-1
11.5%
0-0
9.7%
1-2
9.2%
0-3
7.5%
1-0
5.4%
1-3
5.3%
2-1
3.8%
0-4
3.2%
2-2
3.2%
1-4
2.3%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).