Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →47.8%
Sassuolo
27.8%
Draw
24.4%
Parma
Expected Goals (xG)
1.32
Sassuolo
vs
0.86
Parma
Markets
BTTS42.0%
Over 0.588.9%
Over 1.563.8%
Over 2.537.1%
Over 3.517.6%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-0
15.2%
1-1
12.6%
0-0
11.1%
0-1
9.9%
2-0
9.9%
2-1
8.5%
1-2
5.5%
3-0
4.4%
0-2
4.1%
3-1
3.7%
2-2
3.6%
3-2
1.6%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).