Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →27.2%
Carlisle
22.3%
Draw
50.5%
Blackpool
Expected Goals (xG)
1.15
Carlisle
vs
1.67
Blackpool
Markets
BTTS54.5%
Over 0.595.0%
Over 1.576.2%
Over 2.553.5%
Over 3.531.2%
Most Likely Scorelines
0-1
10.9%
1-1
10.5%
1-2
9.6%
0-2
8.3%
1-0
7.8%
2-1
6.6%
2-2
5.5%
1-3
5.3%
0-0
5.0%
0-3
4.6%
2-0
3.9%
2-3
3.1%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).