Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →37.5%
Tottenham
29.7%
Draw
32.8%
Nott'm Forest
Expected Goals (xG)
1.36
Tottenham
vs
1.26
Nott'm Forest
Markets
BTTS55.0%
Over 0.591.0%
Over 1.575.4%
Over 2.548.7%
Over 3.526.9%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-1
14.2%
0-0
9.0%
2-1
8.5%
1-0
8.2%
1-2
7.9%
0-1
7.4%
2-0
6.7%
0-2
5.8%
2-2
5.4%
3-1
3.9%
1-3
3.3%
3-0
3.1%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).