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HHT: 21CSV

23 Jan 2016

Dixon-Coles Prediction

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85.0%
Celtic
10.7%
Draw
4.3%
St Johnstone

Expected Goals (xG)

3.06

Celtic

vs
0.62

St Johnstone

Markets

BTTS44.2%
Over 0.597.2%
Over 1.588.5%
Over 2.571.1%
Over 3.550.2%

Most Likely Scorelines

3-0
12.1%
2-0
11.8%
4-0
9.3%
3-1
7.5%
1-0
7.4%
2-1
7.3%
4-1
5.7%
5-0
5.7%
1-1
5.1%
5-1
3.5%
0-0
2.8%
3-2
2.3%

Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).