Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →16.9%
Fulham
25.8%
Draw
57.3%
Arsenal
Expected Goals (xG)
0.90
Fulham
vs
1.81
Arsenal
Markets
BTTS51.3%
Over 0.591.9%
Over 1.577.0%
Over 2.551.1%
Over 3.529.0%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-1
12.3%
0-2
10.9%
0-1
10.5%
1-2
9.8%
0-0
8.1%
0-3
6.6%
1-3
5.9%
2-1
4.9%
1-0
4.5%
2-2
4.4%
0-4
3.0%
2-0
2.7%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).