Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →45.0%
Cheltenham
24.8%
Draw
30.2%
Morecambe
Expected Goals (xG)
1.47
Cheltenham
vs
1.15
Morecambe
Markets
BTTS52.1%
Over 0.593.3%
Over 1.573.1%
Over 2.548.7%
Over 3.526.9%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-1
11.8%
1-0
11.2%
2-1
9.0%
0-1
8.9%
2-0
7.8%
1-2
7.1%
0-0
6.7%
2-2
5.2%
0-2
4.8%
3-1
4.4%
3-0
3.8%
1-3
2.7%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).