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DHT: 10

09 Aug 2024 · 17:45

Dixon-Coles Prediction

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38.0%
Rostov
34.5%
Draw
27.5%
Rubin Kazan

Expected Goals (xG)

1.06

Rostov

vs
0.87

Rubin Kazan

Markets

BTTS39.5%
Over 0.583.9%
Over 1.559.1%
Over 2.530.5%
Over 3.513.1%

Most Likely Scorelines

0-0
16.1%
1-1
15.0%
1-0
13.8%
0-1
11.0%
2-0
8.2%
2-1
7.1%
1-2
5.8%
0-2
5.5%
2-2
3.1%
3-0
2.9%
3-1
2.5%
1-3
1.7%

Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).