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AHT: 20

10 Nov 2024 · 18:45

Dixon-Coles Prediction

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23.0%
Sp Braga
26.5%
Draw
50.5%
Bromsgrove Sporting

Expected Goals (xG)

1.03

Sp Braga

vs
1.64

Bromsgrove Sporting

Markets

BTTS52.7%
Over 0.592.1%
Over 1.575.4%
Over 2.549.8%
Over 3.527.9%

Most Likely Scorelines

1-1
12.6%
0-1
10.4%
1-2
9.6%
0-2
9.3%
0-0
7.9%
1-0
6.3%
2-1
6.0%
1-3
5.2%
0-3
5.1%
2-2
4.9%
2-0
3.7%
2-3
2.7%

Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).