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DHT: 11CSV

19 Oct 2025 · 16:15

Dixon-Coles Prediction

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16.0%
Empoli
22.4%
Draw
61.6%
Venezia

Expected Goals (xG)

0.98

Empoli

vs
2.07

Venezia

Markets

BTTS55.5%
Over 0.594.3%
Over 1.581.7%
Over 2.558.7%
Over 3.536.4%

Most Likely Scorelines

1-1
10.6%
0-2
10.2%
1-2
9.9%
0-1
8.9%
0-3
7.0%
1-3
6.9%
0-0
5.7%
2-2
4.9%
2-1
4.7%
1-0
3.7%
0-4
3.6%
1-4
3.6%

Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).