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HHT: 10CSV

05 Mar 2016

Dixon-Coles Prediction

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26.7%
Nancy
26.3%
Draw
47.0%
Red Star

Expected Goals (xG)

0.89

Nancy

vs
1.30

Red Star

Markets

BTTS41.9%
Over 0.589.9%
Over 1.563.4%
Over 2.537.6%
Over 3.518.0%

Most Likely Scorelines

0-1
15.5%
1-1
11.9%
1-0
11.0%
0-0
10.1%
0-2
9.4%
1-2
8.4%
2-1
5.8%
2-0
4.4%
0-3
4.1%
2-2
3.8%
1-3
3.7%
3-1
1.7%

Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).