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15 Oct 2022 · 17:30

Dixon-Coles Prediction

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26.8%
Huesca
22.9%
Draw
50.2%
Santander

Expected Goals (xG)

1.25

Huesca

vs
1.79

Santander

Markets

BTTS59.4%
Over 0.595.4%
Over 1.580.7%
Over 2.558.7%
Over 3.536.3%

Most Likely Scorelines

1-1
10.6%
1-2
9.6%
0-1
8.6%
0-2
7.6%
2-1
6.7%
1-0
6.1%
2-2
6.0%
1-3
5.7%
0-0
4.6%
0-3
4.6%
2-0
3.7%
2-3
3.6%

Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).